BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 51 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (2-5) Overall: (4-6) Overall Strength = 128.36
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Away W 149.32 30 10 1A 130 ( 1- 11) UTEP 20.95 -0.95
2 09/08/2018 Home L * 151.90 26 31 1B 2 ( 12- 2) Eastern Washington 23.54 -28.54
3 09/15/2018 Away L 97.70 8 40 1B 39 ( 4- 7) Missouri St -30.66 -1.34
4 09/22/2018 Home W * 123.99 31 23 1B 89 ( 1- 10) Southern Utah -4.38 12.38
5 09/29/2018 Away L * 124.43 42 56 1B 27 ( 6- 5) Idaho St -3.93 -10.07
6 10/06/2018 Home W * 144.20 28 24 1B 13 ( 10- 3) Weber St 15.84 -11.84
7 10/20/2018 Away L * 96.50 14 42 1B 77 ( 2- 9) Northern Colorado -31.87 3.87
8 10/27/2018 Home L * 117.35 28 38 1B 47 ( 5- 6) Cal Poly SLO -11.02 1.02
9 11/03/2018 Away L * 131.03 20 42 1B 7 ( 10- 3) UC-Davis 2.67 -24.67
10 11/17/2018 Home W 147.22 31 16 1B 28 ( 6- 5) North Dakota 18.85 -3.85
Averages 128.36 25.8 32.2
Best game: 151.90 = 5 point loss to Eastern Washington
Worst game: 96.50 = 28 point loss to Northern Colorado
Team stdev: 20.33